Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1198.555750 1355.015984 1526.658821 1729.334447 1962.627212 2223.345193 2537.613051
2025-12-14 926.822974 1129.520737 1371.341758 1682.763940 2075.570816 2557.695239 3199.040371
2025-12-21 771.755854 987.139751 1258.467663 1628.464302 2124.642988 2773.772875 3698.359198
2025-12-28 702.478759 935.610957 1243.053072 1683.215336 2305.462726 3166.078444 4468.238416
2026-01-04 639.592435 881.377970 1212.831135 1707.545049 2439.511159 3502.233356 5198.392547
2026-01-11 586.339415 832.490442 1181.640029 1722.396931 2555.818421 3820.142980 5939.058559
2026-01-18 541.277571 789.394170 1152.320934 1733.611657 2663.607998 4132.792389 6709.787510
2026-01-25 510.932668 764.198432 1145.584247 1776.289806 2822.164003 4540.452752 7691.481779
2026-02-01 479.850276 734.353597 1127.886705 1798.046820 2946.739252 4904.044142 8646.522121
2026-02-08 449.886896 703.154462 1104.451731 1806.672324 3048.075743 5237.125246 9591.875491
2026-02-15 425.384499 678.302518 1088.478234 1825.195790 3166.973859 5613.125269 10671.900841
2026-02-22 406.132538 660.224409 1081.678045 1858.087674 3313.972158 6056.597820 11951.300559
2026-03-01 373.868302 618.341912 1032.093538 1811.910728 3313.276175 6227.318967 12716.008691
2026-03-08 344.335721 578.910264 983.606725 1763.218265 3302.809307 6378.754511 13468.592823
2026-03-15 316.626627 540.417294 933.411373 1705.978197 3268.190055 6475.058034 14111.429116
2026-03-22 308.074440 535.313476 942.859047 1763.664906 3471.261850 7093.218252 16066.971430
2026-03-29 295.771635 522.331818 936.507553 1789.301559 3610.313933 7591.368348 17825.827396
2026-04-05 283.173369 507.777687 925.864816 1804.952548 3729.382858 8060.334353 19599.024790
2026-04-12 271.100550 493.268578 914.035196 1816.771230 3841.027081 8526.837869 21455.033689
2026-04-19 263.663986 487.059415 917.839511 1861.752160 4032.476984 9209.296038 24034.101818
2026-04-26 254.304290 476.373922 911.782304 1884.685757 4175.396563 9793.157210 26456.966043
2026-05-03 244.168308 463.404770 900.022300 1893.778203 4286.326427 10311.949997 28798.942297
2026-05-10 235.725455 453.239571 893.225722 1913.305365 4424.914407 10922.787643 31555.700220